Driving to Safety: How Many Miles of Driving Would It Take to Demonstrate Autonomous Vehicle Reliability?¶
Authors: Kalra, Nidhi, Paddock, Susan M.
Published: 2016 (Technical Report)
Source: RAND Corporation
DOI: 10.7249/RR1478
Summary¶
Abstract¶
How safe are autonomous vehicles? The answer is crucial for developing sound policies to govern their deployment. This report evaluates whether it is practical to test-drive autonomous vehicles to assess their safety. We find that it would take hundreds of millions of miles and sometimes hundreds of billions of miles of test-driving to provide clear statistical evidence of autonomous vehicle safety, suggesting it is not a practical approach.